This is a continuation of the discussion that Rosuav, Grantref, Seridia, and some other people had on Citizen last night. First off I want to say that I am not attacking anyone's religious beliefs, only discussing the arguments they use to attempt to rationally reconstruct those beliefs.
Rosuav brought up a first cause argument, which in essence consists of the following parts:
1) All events must have causes.
2) The beginning of the universe is an event.
3) The beginning of the universe must have been caused.
4) This cause is God.
This argument seems to be flawed to me. First, the statement 'all events must have causes' is a general statement of a number of physical laws that scientists have formulated regarding the behavior of objects. Newton's first law of motion is among these, which states that every object in a state of uniform motion tends to remain in that state of motion unless an external force is applied to it. This is generally observed to be the case. However, there is no proof that this generalization holds for all cases under all circumstances. Most especially, it is a statement about the movement of objects through space and time and has nothing to say about the origin of the universe which, physicists believe, marked the beginning of the existence of space and time itself.
As noted during the citizen discussion, there are indications from quantum theory that events may happen without a cause. The unstable particles in radioactive atomic nuclei decay at a predictable rate en masse however there is no way, as far as any physicists have been able to determine, to predict when a particular particle will decay. Moreover, there does not appear to be any direct cause of this decay. If you were to put a neutron (which is not stable except inside an atomic nucleus) in a little pocket universe that contains nothing but that neutron, it would decay after an indeterminate amount of time, without any outside force acting on the neutron.
In addition, there is strong evidence that there is a constant flow of so-called virtual particles popping into existence throughout the universe. These occur in pairs, with one particle possessing positive mass/energy (recall that per Einstein mass and energy are equivalent) and the other possessing negative mass/energy, thus there is no net production of mass/energy. This is similar to the way that you can manipulate mathematical equations by adding or multiplying the same amount on both sides, except that there is evidence that this actually happens and is not just a mathematically possible result. That evidence is that there are times when the pair of virtual particles can acquire energy from another source, such as from the gravitational field of a black hole, and transform into a real particle which can be detected.
This is complicated but the bottom line is that there is no proof that the assumption 'All events must have causes' holds true for all events in all conditions. By using this as the basis of the argument, one is begging the question, i.e. assuming a proposition that is essential to the conclusion and for which there is no known proof.
Moreover, there is no way to move logically from point 3 (The beginning of the universe must have had a cause) to point 4 (the cause of the beginning of the universe is God). In Underpants Gnome style, this argument would be better written as:
1) All events must have causes
2) The beginning of the universe is an event
3) The beginning of the universe must have had a cause
4) ???
5) PROFIT!!! Err, I mean, GOD!!!
Why assume that the cause is God? Is it not equally conceivable that there exists a Meta-universe within which What-We-Normally-Think-Of-As-The-Universe exists, and the cause of WWNTOATUniverse may have occurred in the Meta-universe. As for what caused the Meta-universe, we have no information about it therefore we cannot say anything meaningful about it. It may have always existed. Or there may be an infinite progression of meta-meta-meta-....-universes.
In summary, I have enumerated two different logically possible alternatives to the first cause argument above:
1) It is not true that all events need to have causes. The universe was uncaused and happened spontaneously.
2) The universe was caused, but the cause was not God.


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